Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Kyoto 2026
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shohei Namikoshi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuto Mori (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 雅文 尾形 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 藤田 隼輔 (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mason Galvan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Esmond Heng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 歩 櫻井 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shohei Namikoshi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tony Kwok (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Win vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Suzuki (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 真之亮 野呂 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Soichiro Fukui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Ryota Miyamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs RYOYA HATTORI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 一平 近藤 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryotarou Yamada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shota kajiro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 真斗 瀬理 (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs yanao kento (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 直人 三田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yoneda Yusuke (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toru Iwatsubo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 20:80
Round 3: Win vs Iada Caio (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 朝日 谷奥 (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryosuke Kono (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs hiroyuki sasaki (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chard Tan (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hotaka Hashimoto (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.