Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Kyoto 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
71%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Karel Doorman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
Round 13: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mitsuki Sakata (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YUSUKE SAKA (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs ryuto nakagawa (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
25th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs XIN RUI SONG (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kanato Kusuoka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hugo Bessho-Symm (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs KOUKI TOYONARI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hironobu Inoguchi (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 織田 智陽 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yenwei Wang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 雅文 尾形 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs YUSUKE SAKA (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edric Ramos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs WANG HAOYUE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shoya Yamashita (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryo Tanaka (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs SHIGETAKA HAMA (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs LIU HONGLIN (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
Round 7: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryota Miyamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs atsushi tsuchiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lee Cheng Earn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Choi JunHyeok (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs YIKAI WANG (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yoshida Yoshinobu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ヤマモト ダイスケ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 福島 健太郎 (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kohei Sasaki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoneda Yusuke (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 佑紀 丸田 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 一平 近藤 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 小谷 康斗 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs デルス 山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Mok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 織田 智陽 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Ueda (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Layl Madian (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.