Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Kyoto 2026

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Naoki Tagawa

dropped • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs yuki ideue (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs hongrui yin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chard Tan (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuuya Okawa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 匠哉小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ryo Terakita (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Akira Inuma

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 匠哉小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

佑紀丸田

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 稜馬石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs shao qi Chen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tony Kwok (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lee Cheng Earn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.