Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Kyoto 2026
Arakni, Marionette
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YIKAI WANG (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Youngil Kim (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shoji shoji (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Cho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Oh Oh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
93% (13/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hiroki Itakura (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 結友 太田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Soya Okuda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 雅仁 富山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kenichi Takayanagi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
Round 13: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs DAIKI HIROSE (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Harrison Callahan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 歩 櫻井 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs LIU HONGLIN (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs haruka sonoda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
18th • 9-2-1
92%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 英 鈴木 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 小谷 康斗 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs LIU HONGLIN (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hiroki Itakura (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
11th • 9-3-0
100%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naoya Sakaue (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Soichiro Fukui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ニン チハク (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Cho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kenichi Takayanagi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
12th • 9-3-0
100%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Geoff Wong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mason Galvan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs kei furuta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 歩 櫻井 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
Round 9: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
28th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Iada Caio (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Murray (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee Cheng Earn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs haruka sonoda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kenichi Takayanagi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
Round 10: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-1
90%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlo Ople (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs ryuto nakagawa (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 10: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hironobu Inoguchi (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Loss vs Henry Leskinen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Suzuki (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hiroyuki sasaki (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs toshiaki tamura (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Ryo Tanaka (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryotarou Yamada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Harrison Callahan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kei kimura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yenwei Wang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Soichiro Fukui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Karel Doorman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johny Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs hongrui yin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 優吾 中村 (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 大誠 瀧下 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ケイタ サト (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 小谷 康斗 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Draw |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kanato Kusuoka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ニン チハク (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YIKAI WANG (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 直人 酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shoya Yamashita (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oh Oh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Cheng Earn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Mok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hotaka Hashimoto (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuuya Okawa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
86%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Miller (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs shao qi Chen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs satoshi kurokawa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naoki Tagawa (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lin Raccoon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kento Goya (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Haruki Ueda (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs 真之亮 野呂 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu Zhang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 理央 鎌田 (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Miller (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 62:38
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs sho nakata (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuya Nakata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryotarou Yamada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs kazuhiro maeda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuto Mori (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 雅貴 大場 (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 博隆 菊池 (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.