Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Kyoto 2026

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

29 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 9-4-0

62%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryo Yanase (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Huntsman

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs カイブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Arakni, Huntsman

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (8/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.12
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.28
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.62
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.40
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Kenichi Takayanagi

9th • 9-3-0

33%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

6.1

Surp

5.7

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 織田智陽 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Oscilio, Forked Continuum

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xingyu ZHOU (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryosuke Kono (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 45:55

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs タカユキアサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (4/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R5	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.83
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.87
R10	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.18
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.06
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Brodie Spurlock

21st • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Satoshi Deguchi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 69:31

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Valda, Seismic Impact

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Karel Doorman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs タカユキアサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Justin Cu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.11
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.13
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.75
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

24th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

5.8

Surp

4.0

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Puffin, Hightail

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs PANG CHEN (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Huntsman

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.05
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.86
R9	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.85
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

26th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs XIN RUI SONG (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Katsu, the Wanderer

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 直人酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 小谷康斗 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Puffin, Hightail

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 조 윤재 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Clements (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Xingyu ZHOU (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Zyggy Starlight

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.11
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.65
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.49
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

30th • 8-4-0

17%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.8

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 暁柴野 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Harrison Callahan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs 雅仁富山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Marcus Mok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

17% (2/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.11
R2	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.75
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.04
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.29

34th • 8-4-0

83%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

Zyggy Starlight

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 結友太田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shohei Namikoshi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Valda, Seismic Impact

R9

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.42
R8	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.63
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

40th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.8

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Woodland (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eddy C (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs LIU HONGLIN (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs kazuhiro maeda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kenichi Takayanagi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 45:55

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Karel Doorman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Valda, Seismic Impact

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Carlo Ople (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.11
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R5	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R10	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.18
R12	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

45th • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs pun yuicheung (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Malice, Domina of the Dead

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keisuke Suzuki (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Pleiades, Superstar

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 匠哉小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs kazuhiro maeda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Oscilio, Forked Continuum

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Huntsman

R9

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Hiroki Itakura (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs LIU HONGLIN (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Malice, Domina of the Dead	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R7	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

52nd • 7-5-0

58%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 永井泰洋 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 和佳倉田 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Karel Doorman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.12
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.81
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Alberto Di Blasi

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs SATOSHI NAKATA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs kouji hamada (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Zyggy Starlight

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 直希黒須 (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marcus Mok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.41
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.51
R6	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.81
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.62
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nobuhiro Yoshioka

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs カイブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aidan Hutchinson-Chee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mitsuki Sakata (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Puffin, Hightail

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenta Morino (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs タカユキアサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Zyggy Starlight

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs タカヤスギモト (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs ヤマモトダイスケ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.41
R5	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Zyggy Starlight

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 直希黒須 (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kazuhiro maeda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Zyggy Starlight

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

Zyggy Starlight

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xu Zhenzhe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Nakata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 綸太宇野 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 69:31

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 雅仁富山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.30
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.11
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stephen Miller (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Oscilio, Forked Continuum

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tsurufuji Wataru (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 優大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Katsu, the Wanderer

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 雅文尾形 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Esmond Heng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs shogo wakui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.81
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.83
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.33
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuya Fujita (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Didde-Esteban (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lee Cheng Earn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 69:31

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.21
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.47
R3	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.35
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Harrison Callahan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Puffin, Hightail

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hugo Bessho-Symm (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shogo Takayama (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

Oscilio, Forked Continuum

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 優吾中村 (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Valda, Seismic Impact

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs yuki ideue (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hiromu Urahigashi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tony Kwok (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs ケイタサト (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Osawa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.57
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.93
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

福島健太郎

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ニンチハク (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuji Okita (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs hongrui yin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 金昱成 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.03
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 渓松井 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lin Raccoon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matteo Layl Madian (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Zyggy Starlight

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 直希黒須 (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.69
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuji Okita (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Huntsman

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ヤマモトダイスケ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Huntsman

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryo Terakita (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kimura Akifumi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Masaki Kinoshita

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Oscilio, Forked Continuum

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tony Kwok (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs kouji hamada (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Malice, Domina of the Dead

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kento Goya (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Viserai, the Forsaken

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 子謙張 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Malice, Domina of the Dead	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.