Dorinthea at Sunday Showdown: São Paulo 2026

Dorinthea

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jhony Oliveira

9th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.7

Diff

90:10

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Morelli Junior (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Danton Lima (Dash) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Pedrotti (Florian) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kaina Gimenez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	Silver Age	Florian	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.18
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.04
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Rafael Palamoni

36th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Iyslander) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

90:10

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Bastos (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Miguel Ardovino (Iyslander) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Gian Moreira (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Guimarães (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Sobral (Florian) - Expected: 24:76

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.05
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.04
R6	Silver Age	Florian	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Antonio José Filho

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs João Eduardo Cardoso Pinheiro (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Geraldo Amorim (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Roosevelt Villela (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.81
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Gustavo Thunder_red

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs João Eduardo Cardoso Pinheiro (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs João Marin (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Paulo Santos (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.