Kano at Sunday Showdown: São Paulo 2026

Kano

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gian Moreira

22nd • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs João Borges (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andre Benatti (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rafael Palamoni (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Lucas Freitas

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Eliseu Moreno (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Raul Carlin (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Barros (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Rafael de Oliveira Julio

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Raul Nascimento (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.