Sunday Showdown: São Paulo 2026 - Dromai (SAGE)

Dromai

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

David Lewis

2nd • 8-1-1

40%

Meta

+3.8

Perf

4.9

Surp

6.9

Diff

90:10

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Thunder_red (Dorinthea) - Expected: 88:12

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Joao Morato (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs guilherme esteves de sá (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Danton Lima (Dash) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bernardo Coelho (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs GINALDO Junior (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

15:85

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

40% (4/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Draw	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.86
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.04
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.30
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Airton dos Santos Junior

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Miguel Ardovino (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Felipe Samberg (Nuu) - Expected: 77:23

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Antonio José Filho (Dorinthea) - Expected: 88:12

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Fonseca (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.12
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Thomaz Sardinha

dropped • 2-2-0

Meta

+1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Stefano Macarini (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas De Marco (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.34
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.93
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Lucas de Figueiredo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Renan Salomao (Azalea) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Raul Carlin (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.