Dash at Sunday Showdown: São Paulo 2026
Dash
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Jhony Oliveira (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Rafael Barros (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs GINALDO Junior (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs João Borges (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.