National Championship 2026 - South Korea - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

JIN SEUNGHYUN

19th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs sungbin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeong Jae Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs myung hyun Tak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

85:15

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs harbae KIM (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.59
R8	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Byungmo Koo

22nd • 2-3-1

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeong Ho Shin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jeongwoo Cho (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Christopher Reigstad

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs seongkyu lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R2	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Kunbo Kim

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hyun Woo Doh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs JISU HAN (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.