Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at National Championship 2026 - South Korea
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
6.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jean-Luc Parr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Jihoon Park (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 8: Win vs JIN SEUNGHYUN (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs JISU HAN (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 15% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.