National Championship 2026 - South Korea - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

In GwangYeol

5th • 3-2-2

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 인구 김 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs TAEWOO KWON (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs TAEHO KWON (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.81
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Win	✗	0.87	3.39
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Andy Kim

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ko yunsik (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs In GwangYeol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeongwoo Cho (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs JISU HAN (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.57
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.58
R8	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

창건 곽

dropped • 3-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Seokhee Kim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Reigstad (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.44
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Jeong Jae Park

dropped • 0-3-1

25%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ryang Hoon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs JIN SEUNGHYUN (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Choi JunHyeok (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.