Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at National Championship 2026

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jeongwoo Cho

20th • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Byoung Hwi Kim (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kim Minki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.81

HAN DONG HUI

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Choi JunHyeok (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs ko yunsik (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jeong Ho Shin

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lee Dong-Hee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.66

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.