Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Carrano (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs wooram Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.