Sunday Showdown: Jakarta 2026 - Iyslander (SAGE)

Iyslander

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jomari Daniel Panganiban

9th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs martinus indra (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Reeve Chia

14th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs teerawee Choatchuang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Christian Wijaya (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Julio Anthony (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Xiu Meng Yip

19th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Matt Q (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Fai) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rhasta Chuah (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Chris Saw (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.82
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

CK Lee

23rd • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Geri Satria (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Dash) - Expected: 55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Agis (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs William Budi Surya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Sugianto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jason Chua (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Dash	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Xincheng Hou

33rd • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mai Dao (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Willy Felim (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Daud Santoso (Dorinthea) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Romanos Defiano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Derry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Dash) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Randy Stephen (Dash) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	Silver Age	Dash	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Dash	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

David Soetrisno

36th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jovan Kaladina (Dash) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Hakim Green (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Anditya Tornando (Florian) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nevin Aysar Madian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.17
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Kevin Gondowijoyo

40th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Edwin Sitanto (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 58:42

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Lim (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ervan Andre (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Christian Wijaya (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Terra) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Dromai) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Jason Chua

48th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Rafli Ichsan Mahendra (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Azim Fitri (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Sugianto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs CK Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Mai Dao

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nhu y Tran thi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Justin Kemmerer (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Justin Kemmerer

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Wiguna (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mai Dao (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.