Sunday Showdown: Jakarta 2026 - Kayo (SAGE)

Kayo

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brodie Spurlock

2nd • 8-2-0

90%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

4.9

Surp

4.1

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jason Chua (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs David Soetrisno (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hakim Green (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.59
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.82
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.81
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.91
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Mohd Imran Jamil

20th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jan-Noel David (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ramadhany Candra Arif Putra (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs martinus indra (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.56
R4	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Harvey Jade Jadena

22nd • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Agis (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Zong Sheng Tan

54th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Derry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chris Saw (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Chris Saw

63rd • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Liko Naruttama (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Zong Sheng Tan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Hoi Jun Koh (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hoi Jun Koh

66th • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nhu y Tran thi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Derry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Jonathan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Chris Saw (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.87
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Liko Naruttama

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Chris Saw (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Willy Felim (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Nhu y Tran thi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Om Haas

dropped • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Willy Willy (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Willy Felim (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Rafael Alva Shady

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Terra) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Win	✗	0.77	1.41
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Matt Q

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.