Ira, Crimson Haze at Sunday Showdown: Jakarta 2026

Ira, Crimson Haze

28 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kazuya Murakami

1st • 9-1-0

70%

Meta

+4.2

Perf

5.2

Surp

5.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.39
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R9	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.18
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

Pudding Tam

3rd • 8-1-0

89%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nhu y Tran thi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Lean Gabriel Alfafara

5th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daryl Sham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michael Julianto (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.82
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Adi Guna Sodikin

5th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jason Octaviano Iteh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Lim (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jason Chua (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.43
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alfred Lauw

13th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Lim (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ervan Andre (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.19
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.94
R6	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Gian Arnandi

15th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Andreas (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matteo Layl Madian (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Geri Satria (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Melvin Tan (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Juwonardo Budijanto

18th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

95:5

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Wiguna (Nuu) - Expected: 94:6

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Willy Willy (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Soetrisno (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Julianto (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.01
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.61
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Evanking Chiu

21st • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Wibowo Aji (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Chio Taswin (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Hans Kristian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Benedictus See (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.37
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.67
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.09
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Rhasta Chuah

26th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Chio Taswin (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Theo Tom (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hakim Green (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.22
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Gordon Koh Koh

31st • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Awen Yapri (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Isuardi Therianto (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Julio Anthony (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.12
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Avex Lim Lian Hui

37th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Isuardi Therianto (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jason Octaviano Iteh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Handy Wijaya

39th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jason Chua (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.99
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Nguyen Tuan Anh

41st • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Naresfaren Naresfaren (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Hansen Devin (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Awen Yapri (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs teerawee Choatchuang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nevin Aysar Madian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Hans Kristian

43rd • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs martinus indra (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Isuardi Therianto (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs teerawee Choatchuang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Anditya Tornando (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.56
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Daryl Sham

50th • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Derry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ramadhany Candra Arif Putra (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mai Dao (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Draw vs Andreas Andreas (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs martinus indra (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.69
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Danial Faizsal

47th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Wibowo Aji (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chris Saw (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rhasta Chuah (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Randy Stephen (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs CK Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Nevin Aysar Madian

49th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hakim Green (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Lim (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.24
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jason Octaviano Iteh

51st • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jovan Kaladina (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Azim Fitri (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Jonathan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.12
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.75
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anthony Jonathan

52nd • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Romanos Defiano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Randy Stephen (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Octaviano Iteh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hoi Jun Koh (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Andreas (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

teerawee Choatchuang

56th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Awen Yapri (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs William Budi Surya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lexiss Pong (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Nhu y Tran thi

59th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Hoi Jun Koh (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mai Dao (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Liko Naruttama (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lexiss Pong (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Daud Santoso (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

William Budi Surya

71st • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-2.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Ng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Azim Fitri (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Matteo Layl Madian (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs CK Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs teerawee Choatchuang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rafli Ichsan Mahendra (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Naresfaren Naresfaren (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Daniel Derry

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Naresfaren Naresfaren (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Zong Sheng Tan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Hoi Jun Koh (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.79
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jordan Ng

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs William Budi Surya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Randy Stephen (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Willy Felim (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.27
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Matthew Sugianto

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Nove Octavian Widjaja (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Chua (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs CK Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Geri Satria

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs CK Lee (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ivan Marli (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Romanos Defiano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ode Suputra

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Benedictus See (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Hieu Tran (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Romanos Defiano

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Jonathan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Willy Willy (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Geri Satria (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.