Sunday Showdown: Jakarta 2026 - Fai (SAGE)

Fai

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gede Mahar Ditriwan

5th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Willy Willy (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael Julianto (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Iyslander) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Hakim Green (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Melvin Tan (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ervan Andre (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.75
R5	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.93
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	85%	Loss	✓	0.85	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Hieu Tran

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Wijaya (Azalea) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Chio Taswin (Oldhim) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ode Suputra (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ivan Marli (Briar) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.73
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Hansen Devin

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rafli Ichsan Mahendra (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Briar) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.44
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Theo Tom

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daud Santoso (Dorinthea) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rhasta Chuah (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Sarah David

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.