Sunday Showdown: Jakarta 2026 - Kano (SAGE)

Kano

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Julianto

32nd • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Azim Fitri (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Om Haas (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Liko Naruttama (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Rafli Ichsan Mahendra

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Chua (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Hansen Devin (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Nove Octavian Widjaja (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jovan Kaladina (Dash) - Expected: 29:71

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs William Budi Surya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.41

Sarah Cheng

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.