Sunday Showdown: Jakarta 2026 - Valda Brightaxe (SAGE)

Valda Brightaxe

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Edwin Sitanto

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Dorinthea) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Joshua Nove Octavian Widjaja

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Sugianto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rafli Ichsan Mahendra (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Ting Hee Yeoh

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Edwin Sitanto (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Hoi Jun Koh (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.