Sunday Showdown: Jakarta 2026 - Dorinthea (SAGE)

Dorinthea

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat

24th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anditya Tornando (Florian) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alfred Lauw (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Liko Naruttama (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.29
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Mischa Guzel Madian

61st • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ervan Andre (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nevin Aysar Madian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Edwin Sitanto (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jovan Kaladina (Dash) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.32

Awen Yapri

64th • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs teerawee Choatchuang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jovan Kaladina (Dash) - Expected: 80:20

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Dromai) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Lim (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.21
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.18
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Daud Santoso

68th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Theo Tom (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ervan Andre (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Marli (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Naresfaren Naresfaren (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nhu y Tran thi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Mikko Pena

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ode Suputra (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.