Chane, Bound by Shadow
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
6.3
Diff
Round 6: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Zak Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
75:25
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
80:20
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Josh Lind (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R16 LL
Round 16: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R16 LL
Round 16: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R17 LL
Round 17: Win vs Ian Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
Round 18: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R17 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R18 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
5th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
85:15
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Pheano Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R16 LL
Round 16: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R16 LL
Round 16: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R16 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R16 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Cook (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
85:15
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
75:25
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
80:20
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
Round 16: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R16 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Nghia Tran (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Ian Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
R10
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Jack Mountford (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Round 16: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 6-0-0
100%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Samuel Braben (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
15th • 5-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.8
Diff
80:20
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Timothy Teo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
85:15
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
71st • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Noah Clark (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
83rd • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michael Metallo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
75:25
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Martin Holík (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 11: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Loss |
45th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs David Huang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
Round 9: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
55th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
104th • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Henson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
Round 8: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
70:30
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
80:20
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs James Clark (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Taotao Chu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
80:20
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Taotao Chu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Raj Giri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 6: Loss vs Edison Yue (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.