Dromai, Ash Artist
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
5.6
Diff
Round 6: Win vs Martin Holík (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Tariq Patel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Nghia Tran (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Jude Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
38th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
6.6
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Derek Anderson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
Round 10: Win vs Martin Holík (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
15:85
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
35th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
6.0
Diff
Round 6: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
101st • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
4.1
Diff
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Alex Becker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
56th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
Round 9: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R10
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Justin Irby (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
93rd • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Rich (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
70:30
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Matt Rogers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
15:85
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
109th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-0-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Bray (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Angove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Marc Pearce (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Justin Addington (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Alon Edelman (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
6.6
Diff
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31
15:85
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 14:86
Round 8: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs William Pistel (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
0.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Dagan White (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.