Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
38 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
8.3
Diff
Round 6: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Austin Henson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 16: Win vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
25:75
R17 LL
Round 17: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
8.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R17 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
46th • 5-1-0
33%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
7.4
Diff
Round 6: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 9: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
7.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
36th • 4-2-0
17%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
7.8
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Gui Cohen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 10: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
7.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
68th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
5.5
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Kyle James (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Evan Ford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
44th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Henson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
69th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 8: Win vs Chris Brummett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
81st • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
5.9
Diff
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Arjun Garg (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 10: Loss vs William Pearlman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
85th • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Pheano Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 10: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Loss |
87th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
107th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 6: Win vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Patrick McGregor (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
99th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 6: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Isaac Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
4.9
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Chris Tellez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Federico Sirri (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
4.6
Diff
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Bun Ar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
5.6
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Silas Fiefhaus (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.2
Surp
4.5
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Peng Joon (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Connor Babcock (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30
Round 8: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Michael Metallo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs William Pistel (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 8: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Dagan White (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Alex Chițu (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 8: Loss vs Shane Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 6: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs John Zapata (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Tellez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Freeh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Ford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.