World Championship: Philadelphia 2025 - Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light (LL)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Noah Clark

67th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

6.9

Diff

60:40

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Randy Davis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

60:40

R10 LL

Round 10: Win vs Eugene C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40

R11

R11 LL

Round 11: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.61
R8	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.47
R9	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.23
R11	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Eduardo Daniel García Reyes

94th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.2

Diff

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Hugo Platret (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R10 LL

Round 10: Win vs Tariq Patel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R11 LL

Round 11: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.47
R9	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.23
R11	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.53

Austin Redington

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

4.4

Diff

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

60:40

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Soya Okuda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.72
R8	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.