Viserai, Rune Blood
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Rob Denton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Charles Castille (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Nicholls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mario Regalado (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs John Hathaway (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Charles Castille (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Tayler Allen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Norberto Hernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
11th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Alain Arduain ()
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Will Matthews (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Eric Harris (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Ige (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
13th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Robert Ramsey ()
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Connor Nicholls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Will Matthews (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Hemal Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
20th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Sean Soderman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs John Hathaway (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Ige (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Morford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Ford (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.