Battle Hardened: Houston - Kano, Dracai of Aether (LL) - FaB-Results

Kano, Dracai of Aether

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

14th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

Aurora, Shooting Star

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Martin Morford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

15:85

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Vladimir Del Valle (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

R5

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

15:85

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

21st • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43

Dromai, Ash Artist

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Rob Denton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70

Bravo, Star of the Show

40:60

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Ige (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59

Dash I/O

30:70

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs John Hathaway (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Dash I/O

30:70

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	LL	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.51
R6	LL	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

Briar, Warden of Thorns

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43

Chane, Bound by Shadow

15:85

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.