Briar, Warden of Thorns
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Noah Hicks ()
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Sergiu Morar ()
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R6 | 50% | Win | |
| R7 | 50% | Win | |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Max Löhe ()
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin ()
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Emlyn Ingram ()
Round 4: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
Round 7: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Niclas Grießhaber (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Quest Pittman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta ()
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joel Dixon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Julius Otte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | 50% | Loss | |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
26th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta ()
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers ()
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Daja Todesco ()
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Carr ()
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Quest Pittman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Loss | |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | 50% | Win | |
| R6 | 50% | Loss | |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
30th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Falko Holzenhauer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Simon Otterburg ()
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta ()
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Didier Deurloo ()
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | 50% | Loss | |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | 50% | Loss |
41st • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ania Grudnowska ()
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian ()
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Paul Döhrer ()
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Müller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | 50% | Loss | |
| R6 | 50% | Win | |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Daja Todesco ()
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli ()
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski ()
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | 50% | Loss | |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ward ()
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Mehran Khaghani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Bart de Jong ()
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras ()
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Loss | |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Michał Biernacki ()
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta ()
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli ()
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Didier Deurloo ()
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden ()
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | 50% | Loss | |
| R3 | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Guillem Las Heras ()
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Julius Otte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Indigo Bosworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Niclas Grießhaber (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.