Lexi, Livewire at Battle Hardened: Hamburg 2025
Lexi, Livewire
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Liam Holden ()
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Rafał Liwerski ()
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin ()
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Antoan Yordanov ()
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Hicks ()
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | 50% | Win | |
| R6 | 50% | Win | |
| R7 | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.