Battle Hardened: Hamburg 2025 - Ira, Scarlet Revenger (LL)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Naib Mobassir

20th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Niclas Grießhaber (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Joel Dixon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Emlyn Ingram ()

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jan Hendrik Wewering

32nd • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Sergiu Morar ()

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs David Calf ()

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers ()

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Liam Holden ()

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthias Verbeeck

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Wünsche (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Döhrer ()

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Julia Happel ()

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.