Battle Hardened: Hamburg 2025 - Zen, Tamer of Purpose (LL)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Karl Naylor

1st • 8-2-0

90%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

5.0

Surp

4.2

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Niclas Grießhaber (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Daja Todesco ()

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito ()

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Sergiu Morar ()

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Evan Tanguy ()

50:50

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R9 LL

Round 9: Win vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R10 LL

Round 10: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.15
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R3	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.70
R10	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mihai Zorila

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Markus Braumann (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Max Löhe ()

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Martin Holík ()

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Wünsche

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt ()

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri ()

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.