Battle Hardened: Hamburg 2025 - Viserai, Rune Blood (LL)

Viserai, Rune Blood

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Felix Krisch

3rd • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski ()

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Antoan Yordanov ()

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta ()

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Didier Deurloo ()

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Evan Tanguy ()

40:60

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.82
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.96
R8	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Matteo Blasi

13th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Bart de Jong ()

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito ()

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Didier Deurloo ()

60:40

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Gary White

25th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito ()

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Antoan Yordanov ()

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.35
R3	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rasmus Møller

28th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Didier Deurloo ()

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Max Löhe ()

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras ()

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs None ()

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Rafał Liwerski ()

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Jonas Müller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Daja Todesco ()

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.73
R7	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Quest Pittman

33rd • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers ()

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Julia Happel ()

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Markus Braumann

36th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Otterburg ()

40:60

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs None ()

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Richard Carr ()

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Jonas Stahl (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

Joel Dixon

38th • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Warren ()

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs None ()

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Paul Döhrer ()

60:40

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Julius Otte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian ()

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo ()

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Tigran Grigorian ()

60:40

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt ()

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	LL	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	LL		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.