Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at World Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

sylvain verdet

3rd • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Badertscher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.37
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.76
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.42
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.49
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Theo Montero Ciscar

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Daja Todesco

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcel Eggimann (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.