Vynnset, Iron Maiden at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Switzerland
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Badertscher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.