Fang, Dracai of Blades at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Switzerland
Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frédérick Cognard (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Badertscher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75
Round 6: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.