Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Switzerland
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.