FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at National Championship 2025 - Australia

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

logan boyd
11th • 6-0-0
50%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
7.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Ryan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Clark (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Jordan Finch
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Marshall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.