Zen, Tamer of Purpose at Calling: Kuala Lumpur 2024

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nick Butcher

1st • 13-2-0

93%

Meta

+4.8

Perf

7.1

Surp

6.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene Phua (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Leong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Clinton Ng (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Law (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hermann Yeo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Timothy Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Seb Kho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jason Chua (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

93% (14/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.8 Wins (8.2 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

7.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.04
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.08
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.24
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.46
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.52
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.59
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.73
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.54
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.87
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.69
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Jason Chua

5th • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.7

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Goh Wei Hai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Ong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ng cheng yang (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs An Zhu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs (IG) Davin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.25
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.35
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.51
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.45
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.34
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.53
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.62
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

PH Chung

dropped • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Syafiq Sulaimun (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs CYK Lionel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Soh zheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.97
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Colin Li

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs York kwok (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dale Low (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jackie wong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.18
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.32

Liew Kai Fai

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shun-Lok Hoi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Keith Yong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.30
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Nova Chan

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Liu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Seb Kho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.23
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.45
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.49

Theodore Tan

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keith Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Teo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Soh zheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Xi Shern Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.10
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.75
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Daniel Ooi

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lee Mason (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Joel Guzman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Dominik Däther

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gideon Law (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Xiaonan Zou (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Winter Fong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.23
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Yoshiaki Okamoto

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Albern Song (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 56:44

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs agung wijayanto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clarence Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shun-Lok Hoi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Keith Yong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Justin Yong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.14
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Chia Yong Teck

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keith Yong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lai Chi Yi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Weng Khuan Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Shaqeel Danial (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.18
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jonathan Soh

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs JIMMY NEO (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hafiz Hamidon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ee Keat Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kar zhun Lum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Liu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.18
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.60
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Kieran Ng

dropped • 0-7-0

57%

Meta

-3.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sherry Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Chearn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ian tham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Vivat Chotpurephong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Haikal Muhammad

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kar Yong Ang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Arif Karim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Sherry Wong

dropped • 1-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Winter Fong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs ASRI SABRI (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kieran Ng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	65%	Draw	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Danial Faizsal

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Law (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.