Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
35th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
6.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs JIMMY NEO (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Tong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kuan Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Reeve Chia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naufal Nazrein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Soh zheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kar Yong Ang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zaid Nazri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Nigel Teo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CK Lee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Leong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Win vs Eugene Phua (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Johnny Khong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Loke Wai Jian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Liu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arif Karim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Round 6: Loss vs Shun-Lok Hoi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lexiss Pong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yin Zhi Ng (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Iryan Suhaili (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jackie wong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Tham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs ian tham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs JIMMY NEO (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Draw |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Tang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hakim Green (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zong Sheng Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.