Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
6.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seb Kho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs An Zhu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Round 8: Win vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Round 10: Win vs Justin Law (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Round 12: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xi Shern Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Li (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Chua (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vít Stříteský (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yin Zhi Ng (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Keith Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hermann Yeo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
0%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Chua (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Johnny Khong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adlin Yusman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xiaonan Zou (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vivat Chotpurephong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Haikal Muhammad (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derk Hua Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darren Goh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Win vs Elliott Liew (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clarence Foo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Dennis Chearn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adlin Yusman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shun-Lok Hoi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiaonan Zou (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carl Rivera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Lim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs An Zhu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jiggy de Asis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jamen Ho (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Pang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christophe Tia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carl Rivera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Lim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.