Calling: Kuala Lumpur 2024 - Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn (CC)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brandon Peh

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Ong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kar zhun Lum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.03
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.48
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.04
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Hazeeq Hilman

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Soh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.33
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.48
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Xiaonan Zou

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mohamed Ayman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robby Ramasaputra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Leonard Foo

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Liu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.