Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Nuu, Alluring Desire
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 14:86
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!!
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Ong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kar zhun Lum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
!!
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Soh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mohamed Ayman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robby Ramasaputra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80
dropped 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Liu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.