Vynnset, Iron Maiden
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Peh (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Dale Low (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamal Armand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jason Chua (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Soh zheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 12: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Liu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Round 7: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Leverton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stephen Hii (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonard Foo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs shao hong koh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.