Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Calling: Kuala Lumpur 2024

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Clarence Ong

16th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jackie wong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.65
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.74
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Seb Kho

20th • 8-4-0

92%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hafiz Hamidon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carlo Ople (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ben Ong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ivan Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Prisse (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.07
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.38
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.92
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.97
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Liang Hsi Ho

24th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

5.8

Surp

4.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Albern Song (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jamal Armand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jack Tang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gideon Law (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jiggy de Asis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.04
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.74
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.93
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.82
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Nicholas Ong

45th • 6-6-0

92%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

6.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kingman Leung (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hakim Green (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Timothy Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Colin Tang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Wei Jian Gan

dropped • 5-5-0

90%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

5.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lih Song Tan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ng cheng yang (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.07
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.67
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gideon Law

dropped • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aloysius Goh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs shao hong koh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lih Song Tan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.66
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Denny Koh

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kiran Ganesan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hakim Green (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Clinton Ng (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.87
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Genico Boy

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Yong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Willis Tay (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.63
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Kevin Gondowijoyo

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rhasta chuah tiong chee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ethan Mah (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Robby Ramasaputra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Loke Wai Jian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Khai Yung Cheah (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.56
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

NADZMI JAILANI

dropped • 1-6-0

57%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Leong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jerome Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Zaid Nazri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Benjamin Lim

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Clements (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs (IG) Davin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Connor Leverton

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Iryan Suhaili (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shao hong koh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Huitong Mo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shaqeel Danial (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Adrian Dewind

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elliott Liew (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

CK Lee

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mohammed Mikail Bin Md Raffee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.