Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd • 8-2-0
90%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Murgolo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Dromai, Ash Artist
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Alex Ford (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Viserai, Rune Blood
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Sweeney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Bora Ocbe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Dromai, Ash Artist
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Briar, Warden of Thorns
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Dromai, Ash Artist
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
12th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
Dash I/O
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs John Koppenaal (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Dash I/O
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Damien Riggins (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Colin Ross (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Eric Towne (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Terry Floyd (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
21st • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Alvarez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mac Caldwell (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Dash I/O
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Viserai, the Forsaken
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Michael Dailey (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
24th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Towne (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ian Fraser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs William Pistel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
39th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
Dash I/O
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Dromai, Ash Artist
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Wilson Holzhaeuser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Price (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Hans Schubert (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Briar, Warden of Thorns
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Dash I/O
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hinson (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Lexi, Livewire
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mason Blazer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Iyslander, Stormbind
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Eaton (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dash I/O
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Price (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.