Chane, Bound by Shadow at Living Legend Championship

Chane, Bound by Shadow

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kevin Brayer

2nd • 10-1-0

82%

Meta

+5.1

Perf

5.5

Surp

6.1

Diff

Deck

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Steven Yu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Price (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Eric Towne (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Luis Maderas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Ryan Rich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R9 LL

Round 9: Win vs Shawn Edwards (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R10

R10 LL

Round 10: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R11 LL

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	LL	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.90
R10	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Drew Peastrel

19th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Melson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Justin Fan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Silvester Nava (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	LL	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daniel Link

37th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Bora Ocbe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Andres dos Santos Ramirez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Aron Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Tony Mathews (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Joshua Lovell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Phillip Pelley

43rd • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Skyler Lewis (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Ross (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

20:80

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Michael Dailey (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

20:80

R8 LL

Round 8: Loss vs Tyruss Sennett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Eric Towne

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Andres dos Santos Ramirez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Neil Murray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Justin Fan

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

20:80

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs William Pistel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.46
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jake Screen

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 20:80

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.