Aurora, Shooting Star at Living Legend Championship

Aurora, Shooting Star

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luis Maderas

5th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

Deck

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Emmanuel Barron (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Shawn Edwards (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	LL	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Stephanie Hine

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Majeski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Greg Powell

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Hair (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.