Briar, Warden of Thorns at Living Legend Championship

Briar, Warden of Thorns

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joseph Schelling

20th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Melson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Sean Judd (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Joshua Lovell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Zachary Knutson

23rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Bill Evans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Westbrook (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	LL	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hunter Platt

33rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Jones (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Ally <3 (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Tony Mathews (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Cavin Saravanan

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Terry Floyd (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Link (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Westbrook

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Riley Lont (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Bora Ocbe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Cordoma

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Tony Le (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.