Prism, Awakener of Sol at Living Legend Championship

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matthew Shelly

34th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Mark Morrison (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Vivien Khamis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Matt Gaskin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs William Pistel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Michael Dailey (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	LL	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kevin Murphy

42nd • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Kaleb Hackett (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Tony Mathews (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bill Evans

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.