Bravo, Flattering Showman at Sunday Showdown: Bilbao 2026

Bravo, Flattering Showman

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Juan Chacon

1st • 9-1-0

100%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

5.0

Surp

5.2

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Edward Catling (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rafael Durán

16th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Enrique Selva Díaz (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Javier Díez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos fernandez baillo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Edward Catling (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mauro Lorenzo (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mário Abrantes

30th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Oscar Gonzalez Muñoz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jotrick Rheaume (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jonas Wust (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jorge Huaroc Correa (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Warre Sevens (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Oscar Gonzalez Muñoz

34th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jaime Leon (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Cristian Codes (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Richard Carr (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Carrara (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sergio Ruiz Márquez

36th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Gurrea (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Josu Losañez (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Javier Díez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Unai Sesma

41st • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David De Sousa (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Léo Solivérès (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jonas Wust

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Enrique Selva Díaz (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.