Prism at Sunday Showdown: Bilbao 2026

Prism
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 3-3-1
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Gonzalez Muñoz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Baalghor, Omen of the End) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Baalghor, Omen of the End | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Between Worlds | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.